Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 8.084295 9.405750 10.828396 12.468365 14.301010 16.280237 18.573582
2025-05-04 6.386227 8.089318 10.043829 12.434037 15.258444 18.469552 22.375165
2025-05-11 4.973250 6.800714 9.020066 11.875747 15.411803 19.604405 24.905363
2025-05-18 4.091305 5.991840 8.418087 11.679660 15.880426 21.036550 27.763548
2025-05-25 3.381435 5.285922 7.833694 11.398868 16.155975 22.176156 30.247745
2025-06-01 2.863377 4.758719 7.406573 11.249218 16.540774 23.419310 32.862255
2025-06-08 2.398602 4.237847 6.919538 10.950842 16.671200 24.296528 34.996442
2025-06-15 2.117441 3.951309 6.727900 11.031261 17.295986 25.825840 38.015543
2025-06-22 1.842031 3.634081 6.452201 10.953834 17.672881 27.010206 40.588598
2025-06-29 1.654053 3.434184 6.331473 11.086032 18.340451 28.603006 43.753549
2025-07-06 1.492621 3.257223 6.226029 11.224373 19.009961 30.207990 46.971185
2025-07-13 1.385804 3.163361 6.243954 11.549113 19.963027 32.239629 50.838543
2025-07-20 1.269720 3.039003 6.201421 11.775621 20.780078 34.110026 54.548539
2025-07-27 1.129948 2.848861 6.025982 11.767329 21.224040 35.438219 57.507238
2025-08-03 0.935554 2.517657 5.565693 11.243394 20.816810 35.469838 58.559895
2025-08-10 0.811679 2.314750 5.317772 11.060050 20.937612 36.289641 60.783689
2025-08-17 0.694378 2.106160 5.036400 10.793090 20.899342 36.852288 62.625005
2025-08-24 0.605231 1.947176 4.834338 10.650622 21.054379 37.710447 64.924840
2025-08-31 0.514139 1.765960 4.567229 10.365366 20.945729 38.139363 66.567658
2025-09-07 0.465115 1.683597 4.496347 10.442476 21.461330 39.573524 69.792661
2025-09-14 0.409651 1.573106 4.353291 10.368434 21.703546 40.567283 72.347795
2025-09-21 0.374507 1.513053 4.314648 10.494989 22.304588 42.159343 75.877492
2025-09-28 0.343049 1.457760 4.280884 10.627423 22.918432 43.785547 79.493990